We’ve updated our playing time projections and posted new sheets. The new downloads include a number of players who were missing from our initial forecasts including Yu Darvish.
Yu Darvish 2012 Projections
It’s worth noting that Steamer initially projected an ERA of 4.11 for Darvish until we informed Steamer that Darvish’s fastball has averaged 95.4 mph in spring training. That lowered his ERA to 4.01.
Why are the other systems so much more optimistic? A 4.01 ERA while starting for Texas is an excellent performance but are we underestimating his greatness?