Updated Steamer Projections

Our updated projections include three important additions:

*Hiroyuki Nakajima, Kyuji Fujikawa and Hyun-Jin Ryu have been added.

*Pitcher ERAs now take into account our team defense projections.  This will help the pitchers on the Angels among others and hurt the pitchers on the Blue Jays and Rockies.  (Note: the team defense projections differ between Razzball and Fangraphs since the projected playing time differs.)  Thanks to the guys behind them, Jered Weaver’s ERA falls from 4.10 to 3.99 while R.A. Dickey’s moves in the opposite direction, from 3.98 to 4.07.

*Thanks to the work of Clint Hulsey who compiled fastball velocities based on scouting reports on his I R Fast blog, Minor League fastball velocities have been added for 489 minor league pitchers.  Bruce Rondon gets a major boost in his strikeout rate and his ERA falls all the way from 5.34 to 4.08.  Gerrit Cole goes from 4.47 to 4.17.

We’ll keep updating playing time bit by bit and should have one last significant update that will come immediately before the season starts (we might even get to see Jered Weaver’s ERA fall once again).  During the season, our projections will be updated on Razzball and Fangraphs.  If you have a draft coming up, you can get discounted Rotochamp software through the ad on our Downloads page and send some money back our way in the process.

Comments (14)

  1. The Talented Mr. Dope Man

    Gentleman!

    Back to using your rankings this year after it won me 2 titles last year. Just getting around to updating my draft software for this weekends 12tm AL only auction, Will the 3/17 update be the last update before this weekend? Or are you planning to roll something out later in the week?

    Reply
    1. J. Cross (Post author)

      Congrats and good luck! I’m pretty sure that it will be the last before this weekend.

      Reply
  2. johntandlich

    I hope you weren’t asked this before. Why are some players valued lower, compared to other players, in $AL than they are in $5×5? For example Miquel Cabrera is valued at $40 in 5×5 and $36 in AL while Albert Pujols is valued at only $37 in 5×5 but $43 in AL. If I’m in an AL only league should I rank Pujols higher. Conversely, should I rank Cabrera higher in an all MLB league?

    Reply
    1. Webs

      Uh, where do you see dollar values? And AL/NL/MLB ratings for those dollar values.

      I downloaded SteamerRazzballPitchers 2013 v5 and SteamerRazzballHitters 2013 v5. Are the dollar values in another file?

      Reply
      1. johntandlich

        on Fangraphs.

        Reply
        1. Webs

          I see what you mean. Michael Young is obviously misranked in $NL. Freddie Freeman, too.

          Reply
      2. J. Cross

        Yes, as John said, the $ values are on Fangraphs and on Razzball. I have to admit we’re not involved in either one. I trust them but I can’t claim to know what the other hand is doing.

        Reply
  3. oscar

    which is more up-to-date: this site or fangraphs steamer picks?

    Reply
    1. J. Cross

      They are both up to date… all the way.

      Reply
  4. Nat

    Is the 3/23 update the final one before the season starts?

    Reply
    1. J. Cross

      There’s one more coming… this Friday, I think.

      Reply
      1. Nat

        Thanks for the reply, Jared! How do you account for players that are currently projected for bullpen duty, but have zeros for their stat line. For example, Casey Fien from Minnesota or Cody Allen for Cleveland…

        Reply
        1. J. Cross (Post author)

          Fien and Allen are both projected as relievers since they pitched in relief last year. If someone pitched in both the majors and minors (and has no playing time projected) they are defaulted to their MLB role. If they only pitched in the minors we use their minor league role.

          Reply

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