Matt Swartz recently tested the 2011 player projections. Steamer held its own among the batter forecasters, landing in the middle of a tightly clustered pack with the other sabermetric systems. Steamer differentiated itself with its pitcher projections, however, which stood out from the pack and were the most accurate by each of Matt’s three measures.
This is the second straight year that Steamer’s pitcher projections came out on top as evidenced by MGL’s analysis of the 2010 projections. Our biggest improvement, between 2010 in 2011, was actually in our hitter projections which, after some careful tweaking, fared considerably better in 2011.
So, where do we go from here?
This year, we’ll be leaving our pitcher and hitter algorithms largely intact. In order to make our projections all the more useful to fantasy players, we’re aiming to provide our projections earlier and to have the most accurate playing time forecasts in the business.