There have been some great articles on how to use regression towards the mean and (roughly equivalently, I’d claim) Bayes Theorem to make projections but in case they left you still wanting more, here are some interactive slides that demonstrate the concept. For a full discussion of the mathematics, Kincaid has you covered. Anyway, here you go:
This interactive dashboard highlights a statistical showdown between the two Super Bowl teams. From the visual it is clear that the Patriots are the superior passing team while the Seahawks have the edge in running. Which team will have the advantage on the field on Sunday? (more…)
The Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots will play this Sunday for sport’s ultimate prize: the Super Bowl. Both teams, however, took dramatically different paths to the big game, with the two conference championship games having played out in very different competitive environments. The below visualization shows a graphical representation of the two conference championship games. The two line graphs represent the in-game win probabilities of the Seahawks and the Patriots, with the X-axis representing time left in their respective games. Click on the play buttons within the line graphs to watch highlights of the the plays that swung the win probabilities the most. (more…)
Every fall, as the weather turns and you head back to school and the dreary days of autumn, there is always one thing to get excited about: football season. I am a huge fan of both the NFL and NCAAF. I love watching college football on Saturdays and following my fantasy team on Sundays, it is practically a weekly routine.