Here comes Lucas Duda… sort of
We started keeping a weekly log of past projections in June. This might give you a sense of just how quickly these things change 
More on Reliability
To get a better sense of what Steamer reliability scores look like (and because I’m starting to play around with Tableau) here’s a graph of Projected ROS wOBA v. reliability score. (more…)
Steamer Percentile Projections
We set up a page where you can cook your own Steamer Percentile Projections using a player’s projected mean, his playing time and his reliability score. Let us know what you think.
Bringing the Heat
A possible first step towards building better heat maps:
Next steps include using Run Expectancy and making a web app to update and publish these once a month.
Google Docs for Download
The final pre-season (sort of — really, as of March 30th, 2014) projections are available here where they’ll remain untouched for posterity. There’s also a zip file in there that has our split hitter projections (v. LHP and v. RHP projections, that is). Starting soon you’ll be able to find in-season updates on Fangraphs and Razzball. Razzball creates it’s own playing time (and save, hold and QS projections) and also re-combines our split hitter lines to provide slightly different rate stats than you’ll see on Fangraphs.